self reflection

Is it a loss of confidence if you aren't sure you really believed it the first time?

I’m a big fan of the idea behind the loss of confidence project. The idea is basically that researchers who no longer believe their own published findings can say so without stigma. It’s a nice thought – after all, a non-trivial proportion of the scientific literature is probably incorrect. We could quibble over how much, but really who cares about the number? The point is that it would be nice to know which reported phenomena are genuine and which aren’t.